2020

Research Report – Economics 2020

Journal Articles (subsidised)

ABEL M, BURGER RP, PIRAINO P. The value of reference letters: Experimental evidence from South Africa. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 2020; 12(3):40-71.

AGER P, ERIKSSON KA, HANSEN C W, LONSTRUP L. How the 1906 San Francisco earthquake shaped economic activity in the American West. EXPLORATIONS IN ECONOMIC HISTORY 2020; 77:101342, 12 pages.

AL-HANAWI M K, MWALE ML, ALSHAREEF N, QATTAN A M N, ANGAWI K, ALMUBARK R, ALSHARQI O. Psychological distress amongst health workers and the public during the COVID-19 pandemic in Saudi Arabia. Risk Management and Healthcare Policy 2020; 13:733-742.

AL-HANAWI M K, MWALE ML, KAMNINGA T M. The Effects of Health Insurance on Health-Seeking Behaviour: Evidence from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Risk Management and Healthcare Policy 2020; 13:595-607.

BAKER R B, BLANCHETTE J, ERIKSSON KA. Long Run Impacts of Agricultural Shocks on Educational Attainment: Evidence from the Boll Weevil. Journal of economic history 2020; 80(1):136-174.

BIERMANN F, MARKS D, VAN ZANDEN JL. Occupational structure and structural change in Indonesia, 1880-2000. Australian economic history review 2020; 60(1):27-45.

BIJSTERBOSCH D, FOURIE J. Coffee, Slavery and a Tax Loophole: Explaining the Cape Colony's Trading Boom, 1834-1841. South African Historical Journal/Suid-Afrikaanse Historiese Joernaal 2020; 72(1):125-147.

BINGE LH, BOSHOFF WH. Economic uncertainty in South Africa. Economic modelling 2020; 88:113-131.

BOHL MT, STEFAN M, WELLENREUTHER C, SIKLOS PLS. Price discovery in agricultural commodity markets: Do speculators contribute?. Journal of Commodity Markets 2020; 18:100092, 14 pages.

BOLT J, GARDNER LA. How Africans shaped British Colonial Institutions: Evidence from local taxation. Journal of economic history 2020; 80(4):1189-1223.

BURGER R, CHRISTIAN CS, GERDTHAM U G, HAAL K, HOMPASHE DM, SMITH AM, SCHUTTE AE. Use of simulated patients to assess hypertension case management at public healthcare facilities in South Africa. JOURNAL OF HYPERTENSION 2020; 38(2):362-367.

BURGER R, CHRISTIAN CS. Access to health care in post-apartheid South Africa: availability, affordability, acceptability. Health Economics Policy and Law 2020; 15(1):43-55.

CILLIERS J, FLEISCH B, PRINSLOO C, TAYLOR SGS. How to Improve Teaching Practice? An Experimental Comparison of Centralized Training and In-Classroom Coaching. Journal of human resources 2020; 55(3):926-962.

DESMOND C, SEELEY J, NGWENYA N, GROENEWALD C, RICH KT, BARNETT T. Interpreting social determinants: Emergent properties and adolescent risk behaviour. PLoS One 2019; 14(12):e022624, 17 pages.

DU PLESSIS SWF, HARTIG B, JANSEN AI, SIEBRITS FK. Improving payment of traffic fines with financial incentives: Discounts versus penalties. Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour 2020; 74:298-306.

DU PLESSIS SWF, JANSEN AI, SIEBRITS FK. The Limit of Laws: Traffic law enforcement in South Africa. Suid-Afrikaanse Tydskrif vir Ekonomiese en Bestuurswetenskappe/South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences 2020; 23(1):a3430, 11 pages.

ERIKSSON KA. Education and Incarceration in the Jim Crow South: Evidence from Rosenwald Schools. Journal of human resources 2020; 55(1):43-75.

ERIKSSON KA. Ethnic Enclaves and Immigrant Outcomes: Norwegian Immigrants during the Age of Mass Migration. European Review of Economic History 2020; 24:427-446.

EZEKANNAGHA OJ, DRIMIE SE, VON FINTEL DP, MAZIYA-DIXON B, MBHENYANE XG. Validation of a roadmap for mainstreaming nutrition-sensitive interventions at state level in Nigeria. Nutrition Journal 2020; 19(1):96, 10 pages.

FILARDO A J, SIKLOS PLS. The cross-border credit channel and lending standards surveys. Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money 2020; 67:101206, 21 pages.

FOURIE J, GWAINDEPI A. Public Sector Growth in the British Cape Colony: Evidence from new data on expenditure and foreign debt, 1830-1910. SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 2020; 88(3):341-367.

FOURIE J, INWOOD K, MARIOTTI GM. Military Technology and Sample Selection Bias. Social science history 2020; 44(3):485-500.

FOURIE J, LINKS C, GREEN EO. The substitutability of slaves: Evidence from the eastern frontier of the Cape Colony. Economic history of developing regions 2020; 35(2):98-122.

FOURIE J, NYIKA FD. Black disenfranchisement in the Cape Colony, c.1887-1909: Challenging the Numbers. Journal of Southern African Studies 2020; 46(3):455-469.

GROSS C, SIKLOS PLS. Analyzing credit risk transmission to the nonfinancial sector in Europe: A network approach. Journal of applied econometrics 2020; 35:61-81.

GWAINDEPI A, SIEBRITS FK. "Hit your man where you can": Taxation strategies in the face of resistance at the British Cape Colony, c.1820 to 1910. Economic history of developing regions 2020; 35(3):171-194.

JENSEN C, MCKERROW N, WILLS G. Acceptability and uptake of an electronic decision-making tool to support the implementation of IMCI in primary healthcare facilities in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa. Paediatrics and International Child Health 2020; 40(4):215-226.

KIVIET JF. Causes of Haze and its health effects in Singapore: A replication study. Singapore economic review 2020; 65(6):1367-1387.

KIVIET JF. Testing the impossible: Identifying exclusion restrictions. Journal of econometrics 2020; 218(2):294-316.

LIU G, MOLISE TE. The optimal monetary and macroprudential policies for the South. SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 2020; 88(3):386-404.

ODENDAAL NJ, KIRSTEN JF, REID MB. Media-Based sentiment indices as an alternative measure of consumer confidence. SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 2020; 88(4):409-434.

PIEK M, VON FINTEL DP. Sectoral minimum wages in South Africa: disemployment by firm size and trade exposure. Development Southern Africa 2020; 37(3):462-482.

PUTZ A, SIKLOS PLS, SULEWSKI C. Networks and trade costs in commodity markets during the late nineteenth century: a new dataset and evidence. European Review of Economic History 2020; 24:675-697.

QU H, STEINBERG R, BURGER R. Abiding by the Law? Using Benford's Law to Examine the Accuracy of Nonprofit Financial Reports. NONPROFIT AND VOLUNTARY SECTOR QUARTERLY 2020; 49(3):548-570.

REID MB, BERGMAN Z, DU PLESSIS SA, BERGMAN MM, SIKLOS PLS. Inflation and Monetary Policy: What South African Newspapers report in an era of Policy Transparency. Journal of economic issues 2020; 54(3):732-754.

RIJPMA A, CILLIERS J, FOURIE J. Record linkage in the Cape of Good Hope Panel. HISTORICAL METHODS 2020; 53(2):112-129.

SANTANA-GALLEGO M, FOURIE J, ROSSELLO J. The effect of safety and security issues on international tourism. ANNALS OF TOURISM RESEARCH 2020; 80:102686, 4 pages.

SIKLOS PLS, STEFAN M, WELLENREUTHER C. Metal prices made in China? A network analysis of industrial metal futures. Journal of futures markets 2020; 40:1354-1374.

SIKLOS PLS. Inflation Dynamics: Expectations, Structural Breaks and Global Factors. Review of Economic Analysis 2020; 12:203-223.

SIKLOS PLS. U.S. Monetary Policy since the 1950s and the Changing Content of FOMC Minutes. Southern economic journal 2020; 86(3):1192-1213.

SPAULL NA, VAN DER BERG S. Counting the cost: COVID-19 school closures in South Africa and its impact on children. South African Journal of Childhood Education 2020; 10(1):a924, 13 pages.

UCTU R, ESSOP H, JAFTA RCC. Evaluating South Africa's Tech-entrepreneurship Programme for Venture Creation through the eyes of the participants. Industry and higher education 2020; 34(3):203-218.

UCTU R, ESSOP H. Identifying the strength and weaknesses of the South African tech-based industries: Insights from the Swiss South African Business Development programme. African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 2020; 12(4):517-528.

VON FINTEL DP, ORTHOFER AF. Wealth inequality and financial inclusion: evidence from South African tax and survey records. Economic modelling 2020; 91:568-578.

WILLS G. Teachers' unions and industrial action in South Africa primary schools: Exploring their impacts on learning. Development Southern Africa 2020; 37(2):328-347.

Journal Articles (NON-subsidised)

ABRAMITZKY R, BOUSTAN L, ERIKSSON KA. Do Immigrants Assimilate More Slowly Today than in the Past?. American Economic Review: Insights 2020; 2(1):125-141.

ERIKSSON KA, ABRAMITZKY R, BOUSTAN L, HAO S. Discrimination and the Returns to Cultural Assimilation in the Age of Mass Migration. American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings 2020; 110:340-346.

FREYTAG A. Transparente Lieferketten per Gesetz. Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 2020; 69(1):26-33.

MWALE ML, KAMNINGA T M, CASSIM L. Gender gaps in child nutrition in Malawi: Does cultural lineage matter?. Emerald Open Research 2020; 2(9):1-18.

Books

GARDNER LA, TIRTHANKAR R. The Economic History of Colonialism. Bristol University Press, Bristol, United Kingdom 2020:192 pp.

Chapters in Books

BOSHOFF WH, BECKER LH. Business cycle recoveries: A Comparative View. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 73-96.

BOSHOFF WH, DU PLESSIS SA. What do we know about the South African business cycle?. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 9-48.

BOSHOFF WH, FOURIE J. The South African economy in the twentieth century. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 49-70.

BOSHOFF WH. Conclusions. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 285-292.

BOSHOFF WH. Introduction. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature Switzerland AG, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 1-6.

FREYTAG A. The Role of Institutional Structure in Mediating the Impact of the Financial Crisis on the South African Business Cycle. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 97-108.

HOLLANDER H, VAN LILL DJ. A review of the South African Reserve Bank's financial stability policies. In: Du Toit S, HUGO CF (eds.) Annual Banking Law Update 2019: Recent Legal Developments of Special Interest to Banks, Juta and Company (Pty) Ltd, Claremont, South Africa, 2019: 49-77.

HOLLANDER H, VAN LILL DJ. On the Estimation and Application of Structural Decompositions of the South African Business Cycle. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 167-234.

LAUBSCHER P. A History of South Africa's Modern Business Cycle. In: BOSHOFF WH (ed.) Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa: An Integrated View, Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 111-166.

SIEBRITS FK. Globalization and Social Protection: An Economic Perspective. In: VAN BEEK UJM (ed.) Democracy under Threat: A Crisis of Legitimacy?, Palgrave Macmillan, Cham, Switzerland, 2019: 255-279.

SIEBRITS FK. Reflections on the effectiveness of Child Support Grants. In: Grobbelaar J, JONES C (eds.) Childhood Vulnerabilities in South Africa: Some Ethical Perspectives, African Sun Media, Stellenbosch, South Africa, 2020: 205-228.

TAYLOR IC. Afro-Asian Trade and the “Africa Rising” Story. In: ANTHONY R, Ruppert U (eds.) Reconfiguring Transregionalisation in the Global South. African-Asian Encounters, Palgrave McMillan, Cham, Switzerland, 2020: 19-40.

Research Reports

LEMBOE CJ, SOLOMON T. Quarterly report on building costs - 2020Q3. 2020: 25 pp.

LEMBOE CJ, SOLOMON T. Quarterly report on building costs - 2020Q4. 2020: 25 pp.

PIEK M, VON FINTEL DP, KIRSTEN JF. Separating employment effects into job destruction and job creation: Evidence from a large minimum wage increase in the agricultural sector using administrative tax data. 2020: 19 pp.

Doctoral completed

CHINGOZHA T. Land rights in sub-Saharan Africa: measuring impact with satellite images, machine learning and citizen science. PhD, 2020. 172 pp.

DU RAND GP. A microeconomic model of banking with a strategically determined Interbank market. PhD, 2020. 158 pp.

FLOWERDAY WT. Employment policy effects on firm dynamics: Evidence from the South African Labour Market. PhD, 2020. 224 pp.

KEMP JH. Essays on fiscal policy in South Africa. PhD, 2020. 171 pp.

MATSURO L. Effects of behavioural and psychological attributes on labour market outcomes in an uncertain economic environment. PhD, 2020. 153 pp.

MCHENGA M. Making under-resourced health systems work for vulnerable women and children: Antenatal care in Malawi. PhD, 2020. 126 pp.

MOLISE TE. Essays on Macroprudential Policy and Financial Stability: The Case of South Africa. PhD, 2020. 156 pp.

MOSES EG. Migration and urbanisation in South Africa and Namibia: An investigation of the intersection between location, deprivation and opportunity in a developing country context. PhD, 2020. 154 pp.

NEL H. Wealth mobility, familial ties and migration: Evidence from the Cape of Good Hope Panel. PhD, 2020. 189 pp.

ODENDAAL NJ. News, Sentiment and the Real Economy. PhD, 2020. 195 pp.

WABIGA P. Foreign and Domestic Private Investments in Developing Economies. PhD, 2020. 246 pp.

Masters completed

MAZWAI OM. Choosing investment solutions for South African long-term investors with Prospect Theory-type risk preferences. MComm, 2020. 92 pp.

VAN DER MERWE CL. An in-depth investigation into the relationship between municipal solid waste generation and economic growth in the City of Cape Town. MComm, 2020. 147 pp.

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BER Weekly

26 Sep 2025 Free Weekly Review | Number 37 | 26 September
This report covers the key domestic and international data releases over the past week. The more comprehensive BER Weekly Review (Enhanced Version) includes a detailed discussion on the main economic events and developments over the past week, a summary of upcoming data (the week ahead) and the BER’s forecast for key economic indicators....

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BER Weekly

26 Sep 2025 Free Weekly Review | Number 37 | 26 September
This report covers the key domestic and international data releases over the past week. The more comprehensive BER Weekly Review (Enhanced Version) includes a detailed discussion on the main economic events and developments over the past week, a summary of upcoming data (the week ahead) and the BER’s forecast for key economic indicators....

Read the full issue