The equity price channel in a New-Keynesian DSGE model with financial frictions and banking

Stellenbosch Working Paper Series No. WP16/2013 (revised, version: 2)
 
Publication date: 2013
 
Author(s):
[protected email address] (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)
[protected email address] (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)
 
Abstract:

This paper studies the role of the equity price channel in business cycle fluctuations, and highlights the equity price channel as a different aspect to general equilibrium models with financial frictions and, as a result, emphasizes the systemic influence of financial markets on the real economy. We develop a canonical New-Keynesian DSGE model with a tractable role for the equity market in banking, entrepreneur and household economic activities. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques using U.S. data over the sample period 1982Q01 - 2012Q01. We show that a New Keynesian DSGE model with an equity price channel well mimics the U.S. business cycle. The model reproduces the strong procyclicality of the equity market. The equity price channel significantly exacerbates business cycle fluctuations through both financial accelerator and bank capital channels. Our results support the increasing emphasis on common equity capital in Basel III regulations. This is beneficial in terms of financial stability, but amplifies and propagates shocks to the real economy.

 
JEL Classification:

E32, E43, E44, E51, G12

Keywords:

Equity price channel, asset pricing, financial frictions, bank capital, New-Keynesian, Bayesian

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26 September 2023
Central bankers in the US, the UK, Japan, Switzerland, and SA opted to keep policy interest rates on hold last week. Increasingly, across the Atlantic, there is a view amongst monetary policymakers that the time has come to sit back and allow previous tightening to work through the economy. After the deluge of central bank meetings last week, the attention...

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