The Bureau for Economic Research's inflation expectations surveys: Know your data
Stellenbosch Working Paper Series No. WP10/2021Publication date: December 2021
Author(s):
[protected email address] (Wilfrid Laurier University, Balsillie School of International Affairs, Waterloo, Canada, and Research Fellow, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa)
Inflation expectations are today keenly monitored by both the private sector and policy makers. Expectations matter, but whose expectations matter and how should this unobservable be measured? Answering these questions involves a number of choices that should be transparent and explicit. In this research note, we focus on these choices with respect to the South African inflation expectations data collected by the Bureau for Economic Research. Being willing to detail the strengths and weaknesses of a particular approach is valuable as it will enable us to choose the appropriate proxy for each application and to interpret the results with insight.
JEL Classification:C83, E43, E52, E58, E71
Keywords:Inflation expectations survey, Bureau for Economic Research, inflation targeting, monetary policy, survey methodology
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Monday 13 October 202512:10-13:10
Prof Euan Phimister: Stellenbosch Business School
Topic: "TBA"
12:10-13:10
Dr Friedrich Kreuser: Stellenbosch University
Topic: "Allocative Efficiency, Labour Shares, and Corporate Lobbying in European Manufacturing"
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Prof Masashige Hamano: Waseda University
Topic: "TBA"
BER Weekly
26 Sep 2025 Free Weekly Review | Number 37 | 26 SeptemberThis report covers the key domestic and international data releases over the past week. The more comprehensive BER Weekly Review (Enhanced Version) includes a detailed discussion on the main economic events and developments over the past week, a summary of upcoming data (the week ahead) and the BER’s forecast for key economic indicators....
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